Generative Movement Building Strategic Briefing Report: International Perspectives on Democratic Defense
An IMIP & Perplexity AI Synthesis of American Academy of Arts & Sciences Analysis and American Democracy Summit 2025 Strategic Findings
About this Report
Leveraging AI for Generative Information Systems and Movement Transformation
This report was generated by Perplexity Pro AI. Walt Roberts crafted the AI prompts, provided IMIP’s contextual ‘generative movement’ building perspective information, and the primary source materials in the form of multiple transcripts and Claude AI reports. Perplexity AI drew from related sources found on the web and citations are cited way down below.
This strategic briefing report synthesizes insights from the American Academy of Arts & Sciences panel "What Can Be Learned from International Perspectives on Autocracy and Democracy" with strategic findings from the American Democracy Summit 2025.
“The Inter-Movement Impact Project (IMIP) stands at the convergence of three revolutionary forces: the accelerating pace of AI technology, the urgent need for democratic renewal, and the emergence of generative approaches to complex systems change. IMIP's grounding in "generative" principles—from Generative Democracy to Generative Change Theory—positions it uniquely to help pioneer AI-Native Generative Movement Fusion for democracy renewal.
As the Big Signal Institute warns, "democracy doesn't have the luxury of operating at half-speed in an age of exponential technologies." IMIP's response transcends traditional AI adoption by creating a generative flywheel system that continuously maps, harvests, synthesizes, and amplifies movement intelligence while embodying the very principles of generative change it seeks to catalyze across the democracy ecosystem.” ~Perplexity AI’s take on IMIP and AI
What Can Be Learned from International Perspectives on Autocracy and Democracy? (The Video)
May 21, 2025 |
Online
What happens when the contours of a constitutional democracy start to change? What are the most important warning signs and red lines? How can we tell the difference, and what are the steps that can strengthen, rather than weaken, a society’s democratic trajectory when under stress? This conversation explored recent turns toward authoritarianism and other challenges for constitutional forms of government.
The slides referenced by Miguel Angel Lara Otaola during the webinar can be found here.
Generative Movement Building Strategic Briefing Report: International Perspectives on Democratic Defense
Synthesis of American Academy of Arts & Sciences Analysis and American Democracy Summit Strategic Findings
The United States has entered a period of competitive authoritarianism requiring immediate strategic response informed by international resistance experiences. This briefing synthesizes insights from the American Academy of Arts & Sciences panel "What Can Be Learned from International Perspectives on Autocracy and Democracy" with strategic findings from the American Democracy Summit 2025, providing actionable intelligence for the pro-democracy ecosystem.
I. Executive Overview
The United States faces an unprecedented assault on democratic institutions that has already transformed the country into what scholars classify as competitive authoritarianism—a system where opposition parties can still compete but the playing field is systematically tilted against them1. The first four months of the current administration have demonstrated an acceleration of authoritarian consolidation tactics that exceed the pace seen in most historical cases, including interwar Europe and contemporary democratic backsliding examples1.
Core Finding: Research demonstrates that combined institutional-grassroots resistance achieves a 52% success rate versus only 7.5% for institutional action alone, validating the necessity of coordinated "inside-outside" strategies1. This finding aligns with successful resistance movements in Poland, Brazil, and Romania, where professional organizations, civil society, and mass mobilization created effective coalitions against authoritarian capture.
Strategic Framework: The analysis reveals the need for implementing IMIP's "Four B's" approach—Building democratic alternatives, Blocking authoritarian overreach, Bridging across political divides, and ensuring everyone Belongs in the democratic process—through AI-enhanced generative movement fusion that amplifies coordination across the pro-democracy ecosystem2.
II. Critical Threat Analysis
A. Systematic Institutional Capture Patterns
The current administration has implemented a comprehensive strategy of institutional capture that follows established authoritarian playbooks while adapting to American conditions. Legal system weaponization includes over 260 legal challenges launched against opposition voices, manipulation of federal contracting power to enforce compliance, and systematic targeting of NGOs, universities, and media organizations1. The administration has demonstrated unprecedented brazenness in corruption, including a $400 million Qatar jet gift that signals open abandonment of ethical constraints1.
Information control mechanisms include attacks on independent media access and funding, systematic undermining of academic freedom, and promotion of disinformation to create alternative reality frameworks. The administration has pursued institutional paralysis through illegal firing of Inspector Generals across multiple agencies, dismantling of Federal Election Commission quorum, and gutting of cybersecurity infrastructure including CISA1.
Economic coercion tactics involve withdrawal of funding from democracy-supporting organizations, targeting of law firms representing opposition voices, and corporate pressure through regulatory manipulation. These patterns mirror successful authoritarian consolidation strategies observed in Hungary, Poland, and Latin American cases while occurring at unprecedented speed1.
B. Accelerated Timeline Dynamics
International experts note that current attacks happen faster than most historical examples, with the first four months demonstrating consolidation tactics that typically unfold over years1. This acceleration creates both increased urgency for resistance and compressed windows for effective intervention. The administration's approach differs from traditional authoritarianism by deliberately making government dysfunctional rather than more efficient, combining deliberate dysfunction with sharper instances of repression1.
Warning signs from global experience include discontent-driven authoritarian populism patterns across Latin America, Eastern European backsliding despite public support for democratic values, and the emergence of competitive authoritarianism characteristics already present in the US system3. The specific American context involves oligarchic elements seeking to make the state less functional, creating potential for political disequilibrium where different parts of the country pull away from unified governance1.
C. International Context and Comparative Analysis
Latin American cases demonstrate how local discontent creates openings for authoritarian populism, with each country experiencing unique triggers—gas exports in Bolivia, corruption in Venezuela, insecurity in El Salvador, and inequality in Mexico3. However, the underlying pattern remains consistent: perception that the system is unfair leads to popular support for leaders who promise to dismantle existing institutions while concentrating power3.
The systematic targeting patterns identified across cases include immigrant communities used as "trial runs" for broader authoritarian tactics, civil society organizations facing legal harassment through funding cuts and regulatory pressure, election infrastructure under systematic attack, and independent media experiencing chilling effects through legal intimidation and economic pressure1.
III. International Resistance Intelligence
A. Successful Defense Models
Poland's Professional Resistance demonstrates the power of coordinated institutional-civil society action. The "March of a Thousand Robes" in 2020 brought judges to the streets with massive public support, showing how professional class resistance combined with mass mobilization can create effective opposition1. International solidarity from European judges strengthened domestic resistance, eventually contributing to electoral victory over the authoritarian Law and Justice party. The current challenge involves rebuilding institutions after years of authoritarian damage1.
Brazil's Cross-Sector Coalition united business leaders, lawyers, labor unions, and social movements around rule of law as a shared baseline principle rather than requiring policy agreement1. The Brazilian Supreme Court took strong defensive actions using "militant democracy" principles, while mass mobilization in São Paulo brought together diverse sectors. This coalition successfully defeated Bolsonaro electorally and prevented coup attempts through sustained coordination across traditional boundaries1.
Romania's Repeated Success Pattern provides the most encouraging example, with five successful rejections of autocratic capture attempts over recent decades1. Each time the country approaches autocratic consolidation, massive public turnout either goes to the streets or polls to reject authoritarian candidates. The most recent election saw a far-right candidate lose by 10 points despite leading before the election, demonstrating the power of sustained democratic mobilization1.
B. Critical Success Factors
Timing emerges as crucial, with early action in first stages dramatically increasing success probability3. The research shows that once authoritarian leaders consolidate power, resistance becomes exponentially more difficult and costly. Coalition breadth proves essential, requiring cross-partisan professional organization engagement that transcends traditional political boundaries while maintaining shared commitment to democratic norms1.
International support appears necessary for all successful resistance movements, with no documented cases of successful democratic defense occurring without external backing1. This includes sustained international pressure, solidarity from global civil society networks, and financial and technical support from democratic allies. Legitimacy challenges that undermine populist claims to represent "the people" create critical vulnerabilities in authoritarian narratives3.
C. Cautionary Examples and Failure Patterns
Tunisia and Egypt demonstrate how initial democratic openings can fail due to lack of sustained international support and economic pressures that undermine democratic consolidation1. The international community's prioritization of other interests over democracy support contributed to current situations worse than under previous authoritarian regimes.
Iran's 45-year resistance shows both the persistence and costs of sustained opposition, with the women's movement demonstrating the power of civil resistance while highlighting the high personal costs and continued erosion of regime legitimacy1. Hungary and Poland illustrate how institutional capture can proceed despite public democratic support, emphasizing that democratic erosion is "murdered" rather than dying naturally through popular rejection1.
IV. Strategic Response Framework
A. Immediate Defense Priorities (0-6 months)
Legal and Institutional Resistance requires supporting coordinated state-level litigation, with 18+ successful challenges already demonstrating the effectiveness of this approach1. Defense of NGOs, universities, and media organizations under direct attack must be prioritized, along with protection of election officials and voting infrastructure from federal interference. Maintaining judicial independence through professional solidarity and public support represents a critical bulwark against complete institutional capture1.
Cross-Sector Coalition Building must engage the business community around rule of law and anti-corruption themes, mobilize professional associations as institutional defenders, activate faith communities through moral framing of democratic values, and coordinate veteran and military community resistance to unconstitutional orders1. These coalitions must focus on shared baseline principles rather than policy agreement, creating space for authentic conservative voices defending constitutional principles1.
International Solidarity Networks should connect with global democracy movements for mutual learning and support, develop relationships with international democracy funders and organizations, create exchange programs with successful resistance practitioners, and build diplomatic relationships supporting democratic renewal1. American resistance movements must overcome the tendency to "reinvent the wheel" by learning from successful practitioners in Latin America, Africa, Eastern Europe, and other regions1.
B. Medium-Term Infrastructure Development (6-24 months)
Electoral and Democratic Reform advancement includes passing ranked choice voting and open primary reforms in additional states and localities, implementing anti-corruption measures including campaign finance reform and ethics enforcement, advancing automatic voter registration and voting access improvements, and supporting independent redistricting and election security measures1. Alaska's ranked choice voting success demonstrates how these reforms can create bipartisan legislative caucuses and reduce polarization1.
Deliberative Democracy Scaling involves institutionalizing citizen assemblies in local and state government, integrating deliberative processes in schools and civic education, training facilitators and building deliberative democracy infrastructure, and researching and documenting best practices for replication1. New Hampshire's Citizens' Assembly produced bipartisan recommendations with 90% participant retention and positive Republican lawmaker engagement, while Lancaster, PA embedded citizen engagement through dedicated department with budget line items1.
Economic Democracy Integration connects democratic governance to economic opportunity and security, builds broad-based anti-corruption campaigns with concrete targets, develops economic policies supporting inclusive prosperity, and links democracy work to labor organizing and economic justice campaigns1. This approach addresses the fundamental discontent that creates openings for authoritarian populism while demonstrating democracy's capacity to deliver tangible benefits3.
C. Long-Term Democratic Renewal (2-10 years)
Constitutional and Structural Reform considerations include constitutional amendments strengthening democratic governance, structural changes in electoral systems and representation, comprehensive reform of campaign finance and lobbying systems, and strengthening checks and balances against authoritarian concentration of power1. These reforms must address the vulnerabilities that allowed current institutional capture while creating more resilient democratic structures.
Cultural and Educational Transformation requires shifting from partisan combat toward collaborative problem-solving norms, developing media and cultural strategies supporting democratic values, building social norms supporting civic engagement and democratic participation, and addressing historical exclusions to create genuinely inclusive democratic culture1. History education must be taught to enable communication across different personal paths while establishing common landmarks and references1.
V. Coalition Strategy and Authentic Messaging
A. Cross-Partisan Alliance Development
Authentic conservative voices defending constitutional principles provide crucial credibility for democratic defense efforts, moving beyond traditional partisan boundaries while avoiding false equivalencies1. Professional associations serve as institutional bulwarks with obligations that transcend political loyalty, while business community engagement focuses on rule of law concerns essential for commerce and fair competition1.
Veterans and military community resistance based on constitutional oaths rather than partisan loyalty provides credible messengers on national security threats from authoritarianism1. Faith communities organizing across denominational boundaries offer moral authority on protecting vulnerable populations and historical experience with social justice movements that reach across traditional political divides1.
B. Narrative Strategy Evolution
Moving beyond "save democracy" messaging requires connecting democratic governance to concrete benefits and daily life impacts rather than abstract constitutional principles1. Research shows that economic framing linking democratic erosion to kitchen-table economics, healthcare costs, and basic services proves more compelling than institutional analysis1.
Personal story emphasis featuring individual narratives of how authoritarianism affects families and communities, first-person accounts from those directly impacted by policy changes, and community leaders sharing local experiences provides authentic voices rather than political spokespersons1. Positive vision development through "Thriving Together" frameworks offers aspiration beyond resistance, inclusive democracy serving all communities, and hope and possibility rather than only fear and crisis1.
C. Authentic Messenger Identification
Cross-partisan Republican voices including leaders like Adam Kinzinger, Rusty Bowers, and Lisa Murkowski provide credible critique, while conservative organizations defending constitutional principles and Republican election officials protecting election integrity offer business leaders prioritizing rule of law over partisan advantage1.
Community leaders and local officials including mayors, city council members, local election officials, veterans, first responders, community service providers, faith leaders speaking from moral authority, and teachers, healthcare workers, and other trusted professionals provide grassroots credibility1. Directly affected communities experiencing deportations, discrimination, rights violations, educational restrictions, and economic impacts offer the most compelling testimonials1.
VI. Critical Leverage Points and Implementation
A. State and Local Democratic Innovation
Citizen assemblies and deliberative democracy experiments provide immediate alternatives to polarized politics while building democratic capacity from the ground up1. Municipal and county-level democracy reforms create laboratories for innovations that can eventually scale nationally, while transparent and responsive local government models demonstrate democracy's capacity to deliver effective governance1.
State-level litigation strategy shows early success with coordinated legal challenges against federal overreach, Democratic state attorneys general forming effective coalitions, strategic case selection with strong legal standing, and building precedents for constitutional limitations on executive power1. This approach leverages federalism as a check against authoritarian consolidation while protecting democratic institutions at subnational levels1.
B. Technology and Civic Innovation
Election security and modernization requires continued innovation while maintaining public trust, state-level cybersecurity partnerships filling federal voids, transparent ballot tracking and voter communication systems, and balancing efficiency with security and verifiability1. Information integrity efforts include media literacy programs and fact-checking initiatives, platform accountability for disinformation spread, support for independent journalism and local media, and counter-narrative development and strategic communication1.
Civic technology supporting citizen engagement and government transparency, participatory budgeting and digital democracy platforms, open data initiatives and government accountability tools, and bridging digital divides to ensure inclusive participation creates infrastructure for sustained democratic engagement1.
C. Economic and Anti-Corruption Strategy
High public support for transparency measures across partisan lines creates opportunities for broad-based anti-corruption campaigns with concrete targets1. Corruption scandals activate broader public engagement while business community concerns about rule of law and fair competition provide leverage through economic pressure and investment decisions1.
International examples show corruption eventually undermining authoritarian support, creating vulnerabilities that resistance movements can exploit1. Connecting democratic governance to economic opportunity and security while highlighting how corruption raises costs for ordinary families demonstrates democracy's practical benefits beyond abstract principles1.
VII. Critical Timeline and Electoral Windows
A. 2026 Midterm Elections as Threshold Moment
The 2026 midterm elections represent a critical threshold moment with potential to change Congressional dynamics and slow authoritarian consolidation1. These elections provide opportunities to test new coalition building and messaging strategies while building democratic infrastructure through state and local races. Candidate recruitment and training represents an urgent priority for creating authentic democratic leadership pipeline1.
Electoral reform advancement in states and localities during this period can create more favorable conditions for future democratic competition, while local ballot measures for democracy reforms and innovations provide lower-stakes opportunities to test new approaches and build capacity1.
B. Escalation Risks and Warning Signs
Immediate threats include suspension of habeas corpus already threatened by the administration, military deployment against civilian populations, use of "emergency powers" to bypass constitutional constraints, and foreign conflict as pretext for expanded executive authority1. Institutional capture acceleration involves complete capture of federal law enforcement and intelligence agencies, Supreme Court cooperation with authoritarian constitutional interpretation, state-level democratic institutions under federal pressure, and corporate and media capitulation1.
Tipping points from international experience show authoritarian consolidation often accelerates rapidly after initial resistance periods, with 2-3 year windows for successful democratic defense1. Economic crisis or security threats can accelerate authoritarian consolidation while social division and polarization undermine resistance coalition unity1.
C. Strategic Timing Considerations
Immediate action imperatives include legal resistance to prevent irreversible institutional damage, coalition building across sectors before economic or security pressures increase, international solidarity building while global democratic alliances remain strong, and local democratic infrastructure development before federal interference1.
Medium-term preparation involves electoral reform advancement in states and localities, deliberative democracy institutionalization and scaling, economic organizing and anti-corruption campaigns, and leadership development and movement infrastructure building1. Long-term vision encompasses constitutional and structural democratic reforms, cultural shift toward collaborative problem-solving norms, international democratic renewal leadership, and economic models supporting inclusive prosperity1.
VIII. High Priority Action Recommendations
Immediate Actions (Next 30 days)
Professional Association Coordination: Legal, medical, and academic organizations must defend institutional integrity through coordinated resistance to political pressure, collective action by professional associations, and international professional solidarity and support1.
State-Level Litigation Support: Coordinate and fund constitutional challenges to federal overreach, building on the 18+ successful challenges already demonstrating effectiveness while creating precedents for constitutional limitations on executive power1.
International Learning Exchange: Connect with successful resistance practitioners globally, bringing in experts from Latin America, Africa, Eastern Europe, and other regions to share tactical knowledge and strategic insights1.
Cross-Sector Coalition Formation: Build business, faith, veteran, and civil society alliances around shared commitment to democratic norms and constitutional processes rather than requiring policy agreement1.
Short-Term Priorities (3-6 months)
Local Democratic Innovation Scaling: Institutionalize citizen assemblies and participatory democracy in municipal and county government, creating laboratories for democratic renewal that can eventually scale nationally1.
Authentic Messaging Development: Create economic framing connecting democratic governance to kitchen-table issues, develop positive vision narratives beyond crisis response, and center voices of directly affected communities1.
Electoral Reform Advancement: Pass ranked choice voting and anti-corruption measures at state and local levels, building on successful examples like Alaska and Maine while creating momentum for broader reforms1.
Leadership Development Pipeline: Recruit and train diverse democratic leaders across sectors and communities, with succession planning and knowledge transfer systems supporting sustained movement capacity1.
Medium-Term Strategic Goals (6-24 months)
2026 Electoral Preparation: Develop candidate recruitment, training, and infrastructure for midterm elections that could change Congressional dynamics and slow authoritarian consolidation1.
Deliberative Democracy Integration: Scale citizen assemblies and deliberative processes in civic education and community engagement, building democratic skills and collaborative problem-solving capacity1.
Economic Democracy Connection: Link democratic participation to economic opportunity and security, addressing fundamental discontent while demonstrating democracy's capacity to deliver tangible benefits1.
Cultural Transformation: Shift from partisan combat toward collaborative governance norms, supporting inclusive participation and democratic values across traditional political boundaries1.
IX. Success Metrics and Accountability Framework
Immediate Indicators
Legal resistance effectiveness measured by number of successful constitutional challenges to authoritarian overreach, professional association participation in institutional defense, and maintenance of judicial independence through public support and professional solidarity1. Coalition formation success tracked through cross-sector alliance development and sustainability, authentic conservative voice engagement, and international solidarity network growth1.
Medium-Term Benchmarks
Electoral reform implementation at state and local levels, deliberative democracy institutionalization and scaling across jurisdictions, economic messaging effectiveness and public engagement levels, and leadership pipeline development and diversification across communities1. Democratic infrastructure development including civic technology adoption, transparency and accountability system implementation, and citizen engagement platform utilization1.
Long-Term Democratic Renewal Measures
Constitutional and structural reform advancement, cultural shift toward collaborative governance measured through polling and behavioral indicators, inclusive economic prosperity integration connecting democratic participation to material benefits, and international democratic leadership and model development positioning the US as a global democracy renewal leader1.
Conclusion: This strategic briefing synthesizes international resistance intelligence with American democracy summit findings to provide actionable pathways for democratic defense and renewal. Success requires unprecedented coordination across traditional boundaries while maintaining tactical diversity and authentic community leadership. The window for effective action is compressed, but proven strategies and emerging innovations offer realistic hope for democratic renewal that transcends mere crisis response to build a thriving democracy for all Americans. The ultimate measure of success will not be preventing worst-case scenarios, though that remains essential, but creating a democracy that works for all Americans and demonstrates to the world that inclusive, responsive, and effective democratic governance remains not only possible but superior to authoritarian alternatives1.
Citations:
https://ii.umich.edu/emerging-democracies/initiatives/democracy-and-autocracy.html
https://www.idos-research.de/uploads/media/DP__21.2022_01.pdf
https://2021-2025.state.gov/bureau-of-democracy-human-rights-and-labor/the-summit-for-democracy/
https://www.carnegiecouncil.org/explore-engage/key-terms/autocracy-vs-democracy
https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2022/02/authoritarianism-here/
https://hub.jhu.edu/2024/08/12/anne-applebaum-autocracy-inc/
https://www.defensepriorities.org/explainers/the-folly-of-a-democracy-based-grand-strategy/
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